9/9/2022

Sep 09, 2022


9/9/2022
Corn and soybeans were higher from the start of overnight trade and finish Friday with double-digit gains.  It appeared that there was not much of a live hand active in trade today and computers were trading between in each other.  With corn returning to recent highs in such poor volume, remaining upside now feels very limited following Monday's WASDE report, unless we get some surprise numbers to feed the bull.  We have not had a weekly export sales report since the USDA switched to a new report format nearly a month ago.  The USDA finally announced today that they would release four weeks of sales data on September 15, split into two separate reports.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 104,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Taiwan during the 2022/23 marketing year this morning.  There is a lot of buzz surrounding a potential railroad strike.  If a shutdown does happen, how much grain will need to be shifted to barge and truck freight?  Will we be able to recover from any lost shipping time?  We had a nice general rainfall overnight to help push soybeans into the finish.  Trade is expecting the USDA to reduce its yield forecast for this year's crop from 51.9 bu/ac to 51.4 b/a in Monday's report.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.