9/8/2021

Sep 08, 2021


9/8/2021
Corn and soybeans traded in the green throughout the overnight session and did not trade lower on the day until after the 8:30am market open.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 106,000 tonnes of soybeans to China this morning.  China has been a regular customer throughout the past few weeks and has bought a good volume of soybeans for the 2021/22 year but it is now become routine business and we need more to help support to the market.  Anticipated increases in corn and soybean acres for this year in Friday's report are the dark cloud over the market.  There is no historical price action trend to follow for the September WASDE report day (higher or lower) but corn price is likely to follow-through on the same action the following day as what it did the day of the report.  Action in soybeans is random, at best.  With a large chunk of the silage acres now in piles, averages are lower, but much closer than expected, to last year's tonnages.  A quick peek at the extended forecast shows we have a really good window of weather to help the crop finish maturing and the ground should be fit for field work when the rubber hits the dirt.

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Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.