9/8/2021

Sep 08, 2021


9/8/2021
Corn and soybeans traded in the green throughout the overnight session and did not trade lower on the day until after the 8:30am market open.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 106,000 tonnes of soybeans to China this morning.  China has been a regular customer throughout the past few weeks and has bought a good volume of soybeans for the 2021/22 year but it is now become routine business and we need more to help support to the market.  Anticipated increases in corn and soybean acres for this year in Friday's report are the dark cloud over the market.  There is no historical price action trend to follow for the September WASDE report day (higher or lower) but corn price is likely to follow-through on the same action the following day as what it did the day of the report.  Action in soybeans is random, at best.  With a large chunk of the silage acres now in piles, averages are lower, but much closer than expected, to last year's tonnages.  A quick peek at the extended forecast shows we have a really good window of weather to help the crop finish maturing and the ground should be fit for field work when the rubber hits the dirt.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.