9/8/2021

Sep 08, 2021


9/8/2021
Corn and soybeans traded in the green throughout the overnight session and did not trade lower on the day until after the 8:30am market open.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 106,000 tonnes of soybeans to China this morning.  China has been a regular customer throughout the past few weeks and has bought a good volume of soybeans for the 2021/22 year but it is now become routine business and we need more to help support to the market.  Anticipated increases in corn and soybean acres for this year in Friday's report are the dark cloud over the market.  There is no historical price action trend to follow for the September WASDE report day (higher or lower) but corn price is likely to follow-through on the same action the following day as what it did the day of the report.  Action in soybeans is random, at best.  With a large chunk of the silage acres now in piles, averages are lower, but much closer than expected, to last year's tonnages.  A quick peek at the extended forecast shows we have a really good window of weather to help the crop finish maturing and the ground should be fit for field work when the rubber hits the dirt.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.