Grain > Commentary > 9-3-2020

9/3/2020

Sep 03, 2020

9/3/2020
Beans got a little more strength today after yesterday's bean sale rumors were confirmed this morning.  There were two bean sales announced of 318,000 metric ton to unknown and 132,000 metric ton to China.  Beans made a new high for the move overnight, then traded lower much of the morning, before finishing a couple cents off the highs up 4 cents.  Wall Street looks a bit nervous today as the DOW made it over 29,000 yesterday, but is currently down 900 points today.  Corn traded lower the entire session today and finished down a nickel.  Tomorrow is a Friday in front of a holiday weekend, so you never know what can happen in light volume trade.  Once the markets close tomorrow, they won't trade again until Monday night at 7:00 pm.  If you want orders working please get them into us.  9.00 and 9.10 new crop beans and 3.10 new crop are the popular targets at the moment.  If those areas sound attractive to you let me know and we can get something working for you.  Those orders cover the overnight session too just in case we happen to spike.
 

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1/12/2026
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
11/14/2025
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected. 
9/12/2025
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu.