9/28/2020

Sep 28, 2020


9/28/2020
Corn tested support this morning down 4 cents at 3.60 futures before doing a full reversal and trading up a nickel at one-point late morning.  We did have some sales announced this morning of 207,140 metric ton of corn to Unknown, 110,800 metric ton of corn to Japan, and 218,300 metric ton of beans to Unknown.  We traded lower off that news initially, but as I mentioned corn bounced back.  Beans did finish down 6 cents on the day as harvest pressure continues to take its toll.  Beans are now 50 cents off last week’s highs.  Yields continue to come in about as expected on average.  Wednesday is the September stocks report, so be ready for that.  Corn harvest is expected to be 15-17%, compared to 8% last week, and soybean harvest is expected to be 16-18% done vs. 8% last week.  We will get that answer at 3:00 this afternoon.  Forecasts through the 14-day look to remain great for harvest activity, which should keep on lid on these markets for now. 
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.