9/27/2021

Sep 27, 2021


9/27/2021
Corn and soybeans started the overnight session on a weaker note after a huge harvest weekend.  We flipped to green shortly after the 8:30am open with a flood of East coast investor money jumping in on some mob mentality type buying.  The timing is rather peculiar considering we are entering a period of time when supply is the largest for the year.  The USDA made an 8am export sale announcement this morning of 334,000 tonnes (12.3 million bushels) of soybeans to China for the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections continue to improve but are well behind last year's pace.  Volumes were on the upper-end of expectations for corn and soybeans but totals were nothing special.  518k tonnes corn and 441k tonnes of soybeans were inspected for export shipment last week.  At this point, we know the US is going to have a crop and we will have the supply to meet estimated demand.  Time to start asking ourselves if the demand is there to keep the supply from growing too large, too fast.  We appreciate everyone who hauled grain into Glacial Plains over the weekend.  We dumped over 600,000 bushels of soybeans on Saturday and Sunday between all the locations and today has the potential of setting a record!

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.