Grain > Commentary > 9-24-2021

9/24/2021

Sep 24, 2021

9/24/2021
A very quiet day of trade with corn trading inside a 4-cent range and soybeans within an 11-cent range.  Funds and managed money remain sidelined while most are evaluating their position going into next week where the USDA will release the quarterly grain stocks report on Thursday.  Trade has steadily consolidated since the September WASDE report and the grain stocks report will provide us with a much-needed set of fresh fundamentals to trade and give our market some direction.  There was very limited news to trade this week and I expect we remain neutral/lower to start next week, barring any surprises.  Weekly close for corn is 6 higher and soybeans improved 4 cents on the week.  New crop basis remains historically strong going into the weekend and we recommend setting basis for hedged corn that will be delivered during the new crop period.  Murdock will be loading a soybean train tomorrow, September 25, and will be unable to receive corn for the day.

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9/12/2025
Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
8/21/2025
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
8/15/2025
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.