9/23/2022

Sep 23, 2022


9/23/2022
Outside markets weighed heavy on grains today.  The DOW traded near 800 points lower, crude oil traded over $5/bbl lower, breaking below some long-term support, and the dollar index continued a historic rally, trading 1.6 points higher around 1:00 this afternoon.  Most market spaces suffered steep losses on the day.  Corn and soybeans struggled to trade at unchanged on the overnight open and were sold-off hard at 8:30 this morning following the coffee break.  Trade made an attempt to bounce off of this morning's lows but recovery was limited and trade faded after the mid-day point into the weekend.  December corn lost 1 cent and November soybeans were down 23 on the week.  While we do not like seeing markets hit this hard in a single day, it is what is needed to help generate fresh demand for U.S. grains.  Further correction is likely needed as we are still at a premium to South America with the U.S. standing on the shore of a fresh new crop supply.  There were no official USDA reports or export sales announcements today and news was limited within the grains.  Early soybean harvest has finally made its way into our area with some new crop soybeans already being delivered.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.