9/22/2021

Sep 22, 2021


9/22/2021
After a poor start to the week, the grain sector spent close to the entirety of both sessions trading higher.  Of all things, today's firm move higher across the corn, soybean, and wheat trades was supported by oats locked limit higher on small volume approximately 90 minutes into the session last night.  Around mid-day, corn and soybeans did trade back near unchanged when Reuters announced the EPA was proposing large cuts to biofuel blending requirements.  Prices recovered after trade realized the EPA already made a similar announcement earlier this year.  Daily export sales announcements have been quiet this week as harvest continues to ramp up in the US and with more crop continuously harvested, more crop continues to be hauled in.  Today, soybean basis showed its first shimmer of weakness in a number of weeks.  Weekly ethanol output continues to slide, off another 11,000 bpd to 926,000 bpd.  Ethanol stocks increased 101,000 barrels to 20.11 million barrels.  As of today, September 22, Glacial Plains will be extending its grain receiving hours to accommodate harvest.  Contact your local grain team representative to confirm hours.  Wishing everyone a safe and bountiful harvest.

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Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.