9/22/2020

Sep 22, 2020


9/22/2020
About 3:00 am corn was trading down 3 and beans were down 10 as it looked like the correction was going to continue.  Then the markets rallied back into the coffee break with corn and beans trading slightly higher.  We got another round of decent export sales this morning.  Corn announcements were 140,000 MT to China and 320,000 MT to unknown destinations.  Bean announcements were 266,000 MT to China and 264,000 MT to unknown destinations.   That allowed the market to open higher on renewed optimism for continued exports.  Corn traded up 3 and beans traded up 15 at the highs in the first few minutes after the coffee break before trending lower the balance of the day and finishing in red figures.  Harvest progress will only continue to pick up from here and that will likely keep a lid on this market from here.  China remains the wild card with continued purchases.  The US dollar is up another 350 ticks today and is now trading at 94, up a full point in the last two days.  The Dow calmed down today and is up 100 points.  Wheat was the only bright spot today as Russia has some dryness concerns. 
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.