9/21/2021

Sep 21, 2021


9/21/2021
Corn lower and beans stronger throughout the overnight and day sessions.  Soybeans found no willing sellers below the 200-day moving average during the day session, triggering technical buying and a solid bounce to an 11 cent higher finish.  A lack of any fresh news in corn resulted in continued risk-off and a close of 4 cents lower on the board.  Yesterday's weekly crop progress report showed the crop maturity and early harvest is progressing relatively normal to average across the U.S.  We will continue to see technical buying and some bounces higher on the daily charts but we will likely continue on our seasonal trend lower.  NOAA 7-day weather outlooks will put pressure on the markets as long as they favor corn drying and field work.  In our local area, we expect to be close to full harvest by the weekend. 

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.