9/21/2020

Sep 21, 2020


9/21/2020
Today was correction day.  Corn and beans traded slightly lower on the overnight, but trended lower the entire day.  It feels like this correction was overdue and a setback here is rather healthy for the markets.  $10.00 November futures is likely in the cards this week as we will see our first real week of harvest pressure.  Weather looks ideal for harvest for the next 14 days as we remain above normal on temps and below normal on moisture.  The 3:00 ratings had corn up 1% good to excellent and beans unchanged.  Corn is 8% harvested and beans are 6% harvested.  The USDA announced 132 mt US soybean to China, 171 mt US soybean to unknown and 132 mt US soybean to Pakistan. The Dow was down nearly 1,000 points at the time of the grains close, but has closed down 500. 
 

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May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.