9/20/2021

Sep 20, 2021


9/20/2021
A sea of red across the markets and exchanges with a macro risk-off day to start the week.  Most commodities, including grain, coffee, and livestock, saw some significant losses throughout the day.  Stock indexes also suffered from a sell-off.  As of about 1:20pm, the DOW was trading down 850 points, the NASDAQ down 430 points, and the S&P down 105 points.  There was no daily export sale announcement from the USDA this morning.  China is currently on a holiday so most aren't surprised but anything announced this morning would have most likely been purchased Thursday or Friday last week.  Export inspections perked up last week, meaning terminals in the gulf are coming back into service after Hurricane Ida left many of them damaged.  Volumes were still within trade range estimates but it was good to see that export capacity is recovering.  Last week, 403k tonnes of corn, 275k tonnes of soybeans, and 563k tonnes of wheat were inspected for export.  Locally, soybean harvest is just beginning to ramp up and early reports average in the 50-55 bushels per acre range.  Renville area reported some soybeans in the 60-70 bpa range.  No specific numbers on early corn yields in our area but has been "better than expected."

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.