9/2/2021

Sep 02, 2021


9/2/2021
Today was a very quiet day in the markets.  Storm damage from Ida is still being surveyed as some start to get power back, but others will not have power for weeks.  Some export ports in the Gulf have extensive damage and will take time to come back online, which has caused a shake up in the grain markets.  Some sales have shifted to the PNW to try and alleviate the pressure, but that’s only a band aid on the problem.  It will depend on how long these ports are down to know the full extent of the issue.  Barge traffic is also going to be an issue until troubled areas clear up.  Spreads have relaxed to give us some carries, so if you are sitting on HTA's that you don't plan on hauling this fall it might be a good time to take a look at getting them rolled out.  This is an opportunity we might not have gotten otherwise.   We did have another export sale announced this morning of 126,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China.  There are no markets on Monday.  September 10th is our next monthly USDA report and as we mentioned yesterday, they plan to take a look at planted and harvested acres on this report.  That could be worrisome and may be another reason spreads relaxed. 
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.