9/2/2021

Sep 02, 2021


9/2/2021
Today was a very quiet day in the markets.  Storm damage from Ida is still being surveyed as some start to get power back, but others will not have power for weeks.  Some export ports in the Gulf have extensive damage and will take time to come back online, which has caused a shake up in the grain markets.  Some sales have shifted to the PNW to try and alleviate the pressure, but that’s only a band aid on the problem.  It will depend on how long these ports are down to know the full extent of the issue.  Barge traffic is also going to be an issue until troubled areas clear up.  Spreads have relaxed to give us some carries, so if you are sitting on HTA's that you don't plan on hauling this fall it might be a good time to take a look at getting them rolled out.  This is an opportunity we might not have gotten otherwise.   We did have another export sale announced this morning of 126,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China.  There are no markets on Monday.  September 10th is our next monthly USDA report and as we mentioned yesterday, they plan to take a look at planted and harvested acres on this report.  That could be worrisome and may be another reason spreads relaxed. 
 

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.