9/2/2021

Sep 02, 2021


9/2/2021
Today was a very quiet day in the markets.  Storm damage from Ida is still being surveyed as some start to get power back, but others will not have power for weeks.  Some export ports in the Gulf have extensive damage and will take time to come back online, which has caused a shake up in the grain markets.  Some sales have shifted to the PNW to try and alleviate the pressure, but that’s only a band aid on the problem.  It will depend on how long these ports are down to know the full extent of the issue.  Barge traffic is also going to be an issue until troubled areas clear up.  Spreads have relaxed to give us some carries, so if you are sitting on HTA's that you don't plan on hauling this fall it might be a good time to take a look at getting them rolled out.  This is an opportunity we might not have gotten otherwise.   We did have another export sale announced this morning of 126,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China.  There are no markets on Monday.  September 10th is our next monthly USDA report and as we mentioned yesterday, they plan to take a look at planted and harvested acres on this report.  That could be worrisome and may be another reason spreads relaxed. 
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.