9/18/2023

Sep 18, 2023


A bit of an ugly start to the week for corn, soybeans, and wheat.  Corn and soybeans held steady/sideways throughout overnight trade but immediately broke support at the 8:30am opening.  Corn finished 4 lower where it was stuck must of the day.  Soybeans finished just above their lows, down 16-23 cents on the day.  The market has been mostly disengaged on all sides as we continue on a seasonal type pattern/trend as we move inevitably closer to harvest.  Weekly export inspections came in-line with expectations.  Corn shipments totaled 642k tonnes and soybean shipments 393k tonnes.  Market-year-to-date shipments compared to last year are running roughly 10% ahead for corn and 30% behind for soybeans.  The USDA had an 8 a.m. announcement this morning confirming the sale of 123,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2023/24 marketing year.

November soybeans broke support at the 200-day moving average immediately on the 8:30 re-opening.  I expect some strong support at the 100-day moving average/1300’0 area.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
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