9/18/2020

Sep 18, 2020


9/18/2020
Due to the unknown of how that market is going to trade Sunday night we will not be purchasing grain after the close tonight.  We can work a sell order if you would like, so give us a call if you would like to do that.  Beans traded higher right out of the gate last night up 15 cents at the highs.  At the coffee break they were up 9.  We got a few small sales announced at 8:00 am.  210,000 MT of corn to China, 132,000 MT of beans to China, and 100,000 MT of meal to Unknown.  On the 8:30 open beans traded all the way down to unchanged before battling back all day long and eventually putting in new highs once again at 10.4675 futures.  This market feels like it is just trying to figure out a price that China is not willing to buy at the moment. How high do we need to get to stop the purchases from happening?  The charts remain friendly.  10.50 Nov is likely a phycological resistance, but 10.80 is an area of interest on the charts.  Wheat was an impressive leader today up 18 in Chicago.  Are they expecting some wheat export sales now?  Corn just continues to drag its feet and follow along.  Harvest activity will likely pick up next week, which could put a little more pressure on.  Have a good weekend!
 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.