9/18/2020

Sep 18, 2020


9/18/2020
Due to the unknown of how that market is going to trade Sunday night we will not be purchasing grain after the close tonight.  We can work a sell order if you would like, so give us a call if you would like to do that.  Beans traded higher right out of the gate last night up 15 cents at the highs.  At the coffee break they were up 9.  We got a few small sales announced at 8:00 am.  210,000 MT of corn to China, 132,000 MT of beans to China, and 100,000 MT of meal to Unknown.  On the 8:30 open beans traded all the way down to unchanged before battling back all day long and eventually putting in new highs once again at 10.4675 futures.  This market feels like it is just trying to figure out a price that China is not willing to buy at the moment. How high do we need to get to stop the purchases from happening?  The charts remain friendly.  10.50 Nov is likely a phycological resistance, but 10.80 is an area of interest on the charts.  Wheat was an impressive leader today up 18 in Chicago.  Are they expecting some wheat export sales now?  Corn just continues to drag its feet and follow along.  Harvest activity will likely pick up next week, which could put a little more pressure on.  Have a good weekend!
 

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.