9/18/2020

Sep 18, 2020


9/18/2020
Due to the unknown of how that market is going to trade Sunday night we will not be purchasing grain after the close tonight.  We can work a sell order if you would like, so give us a call if you would like to do that.  Beans traded higher right out of the gate last night up 15 cents at the highs.  At the coffee break they were up 9.  We got a few small sales announced at 8:00 am.  210,000 MT of corn to China, 132,000 MT of beans to China, and 100,000 MT of meal to Unknown.  On the 8:30 open beans traded all the way down to unchanged before battling back all day long and eventually putting in new highs once again at 10.4675 futures.  This market feels like it is just trying to figure out a price that China is not willing to buy at the moment. How high do we need to get to stop the purchases from happening?  The charts remain friendly.  10.50 Nov is likely a phycological resistance, but 10.80 is an area of interest on the charts.  Wheat was an impressive leader today up 18 in Chicago.  Are they expecting some wheat export sales now?  Corn just continues to drag its feet and follow along.  Harvest activity will likely pick up next week, which could put a little more pressure on.  Have a good weekend!
 

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.