9/16/2022

Sep 16, 2022


9/16/2022
Corn and soybeans spent the overnight session in the red but found a bid at their 20-day moving averages shortly after the 8:30 re-open.  Markets were somewhat steady after the mid-day point, making for a quiet second half of the session.  News was very limited today and we had no USDA announcements or reports.  Early soybean harvest has started in Iowa/Southern Minnesota and crushers have become somewhat erratic with their cash bids, backing off once a day or more, as more combines begin to roll.  Soybean board prices faded through the rest of the week from Monday's high, likely some early harvest pressure on the market.  This pressure will increase as the new crop supply increases and weather forecasts look encouraging to continue pushing our crop towards full maturity.  NOPA members reported 165.54 million bushels of soybeans processed during August.  This was down from 170.22 in July and slightly below the average trade guess.  Week-to-week, December corn is down 7 cents and November soybeans gained 36 cents.

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.