9/16/2021

Sep 16, 2021


9/16/2021
Corn and soybeans higher/firm for almost all of the overnight session with follow-through technical buying after bouncing off of last week's lows.  Market is focused on some poor early US corn yield reports but, typically, the fields that are harvest ready early are the poorest yielding.  You can likely expect a negative day of trade in the near future explained by improved yield reports.  After the USDA announced a cancellation of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 21/22 yesterday morning, we had an 8am sale announcement this morning of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 21/22.  The weekly export sales report failed to impress this morning and stemmed off the momentum the market had generated overnight.  The USDA reported 247k tonnes of corn sold, well below the 500k tonne minimum estimate.  The USDA reported 1.264 million tonnes of soybean export sales last week.  Soybean sales were at the upper-end of estimates but the volume isn't a surprise this time of year.  The weekly drought monitor update showed virtually no changes from last week's map.  Weather forecast continues to be favorable for crop maturity.  Reminder: The Glacial Plains Coop annual is tonight at 5:00pm inside the Glacial Plains shop in Murdock.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.