9/16/2021

Sep 16, 2021


9/16/2021
Corn and soybeans higher/firm for almost all of the overnight session with follow-through technical buying after bouncing off of last week's lows.  Market is focused on some poor early US corn yield reports but, typically, the fields that are harvest ready early are the poorest yielding.  You can likely expect a negative day of trade in the near future explained by improved yield reports.  After the USDA announced a cancellation of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 21/22 yesterday morning, we had an 8am sale announcement this morning of 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for 21/22.  The weekly export sales report failed to impress this morning and stemmed off the momentum the market had generated overnight.  The USDA reported 247k tonnes of corn sold, well below the 500k tonne minimum estimate.  The USDA reported 1.264 million tonnes of soybean export sales last week.  Soybean sales were at the upper-end of estimates but the volume isn't a surprise this time of year.  The weekly drought monitor update showed virtually no changes from last week's map.  Weather forecast continues to be favorable for crop maturity.  Reminder: The Glacial Plains Coop annual is tonight at 5:00pm inside the Glacial Plains shop in Murdock.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.