Grain > Commentary > 9-16-2020

9/16/2020

Sep 16, 2020

9/16/2020
Overnight markets had corn and beans down 5-6 on the first couple hours of trade last night.  By the coffee break corn was unchanged and beans were up 6.  We got another bean sale announcement to China of 327,000 metric ton at 8:00 am.  Then rumor came out that China was going to purchase another 15-20 cargoes, which got the bean market to put in a new high up 21 cents at 10.1375.  Selling began to pick up from the farmer, but was still limited compared to last week’s volume.  It feels like we are searching for the top at the moment and I am not sure anyone knows where that’s going to be.  Early bean yields I have seen have been good and I would assume these early beans won't be our best yielding beans.  Continue to scale up sales and don't try and be a hero.  These markets can correct is a quick hurry.  Corn also traded higher today as they try and follow beans.  China remains the wild card in the corn market as well.  Will they buy more US corn and how much? 
 

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2/10/2026
Feb 10, 2026
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1/12/2026
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
11/14/2025
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.