9/16/2020

Sep 16, 2020


9/16/2020
Overnight markets had corn and beans down 5-6 on the first couple hours of trade last night.  By the coffee break corn was unchanged and beans were up 6.  We got another bean sale announcement to China of 327,000 metric ton at 8:00 am.  Then rumor came out that China was going to purchase another 15-20 cargoes, which got the bean market to put in a new high up 21 cents at 10.1375.  Selling began to pick up from the farmer, but was still limited compared to last week’s volume.  It feels like we are searching for the top at the moment and I am not sure anyone knows where that’s going to be.  Early bean yields I have seen have been good and I would assume these early beans won't be our best yielding beans.  Continue to scale up sales and don't try and be a hero.  These markets can correct is a quick hurry.  Corn also traded higher today as they try and follow beans.  China remains the wild card in the corn market as well.  Will they buy more US corn and how much? 
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.