9/15/2021

Sep 15, 2021


9/15/2021
The USDA announced a soybean cancellation to China this morning of 132,000 ton.  That is the first time we have seen a cancellation.  It caused a slight panic at the open, but we shrugged it off nicely.  Corn was up 13 today on early yield concerns as there are some disease concerns.  I remain in the camp that the early corn won't be as good as the late maturity corn, but we won't know that for a couple weeks.  It might also just being as simple as buying it on sale, as we just traded below $5 futures last Friday. A run back to the 100 day moving average at $5.55 Dec futures would be healthy.  Beans tagged along up 12 for the day and is approaching $13.00 futures once again.  If you are planning to move beans off the combine basis remains stout for the time being.  Oats were up 24 cents today, I wonder what they know?  Other news was queit as we wait in most places for harest to roll.  

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.