9/14/2020

Sep 14, 2020


9/14/2020
Beans made new high overnight at 10.0875 futures, but were unable to match those highs in the day session.  We had another great round of sale announcements this morning.  350,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to China, 106,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to Japan, 129,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China, and 318,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to unknown.  That is quite the list again and we will take it!  Managed funds are now net long 55,000 corn and 199,000 soybean contracts.  Weekly export sales were great once again for corn and beans, which we already knew.  Debate continues about if China needs these sales or adding to reserve in case US and China relations sour.  Crop ratings were out at 3:00 with corn down 1% at 60% good to excellent.  Beans were down 2% at 63% good to excellent.  The plant is supposed to be dying now remember, just saying.  It still feels like the right thing to do is scale up selling, because one never knows when we top out and I sure don’t want to miss out on this opportunity with soybeans.  This is a dream type level only a month ago, now it is reality.   
 

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.