9/13/2023

Sep 13, 2023


After some back-and-forth on either side of unchanged, corn and soybeans slowly found some footing going into the back half of Wednesday trade.  Corn narrowly avoided setting a new 30-month lows and turned it around for a firm gains ranging from 2-5 cents.  Soybeans traded a fresh low for the move, managing to hold a couple cents above the 200-day moving average before bouncing into the green after mid-day.  A nice reversal following such a poor performance after the USDA report yesterday.  Weekly ethanol data showed a rise in production by 27,000 barrels/day to 1.039 mln bpd.  Stocks were off by 400,000 barrels, coming in at 21.2 mln.  There were no USDA sale announcements this morning.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.