9/13/2021

Sep 13, 2021


9/13/2021
Today was quiet as the market continues to digest the USDA report from Friday. We traded slightly lower most of the session with nothing much to talk about. We did have another 132,000 metric ton of beans sold to unknown announced this morning. Early yield reports are starting to trickle in, but it is too early to form a bias. Most of the beans are still a week or two away in our neck of the woods. The later maturity crops should be better than the early maturity this year, as those late rains should have been more beneficial. I am not ready to throw in the towel by those disappointed on the early crops thus far. Basis remains stout on the new crop corn and beans. These are the best numbers I have seen since 2007 when I started merchandising. If you have Hedge to Arrives I would take a look at locking in basis if you need to haul at harvest. If you have room in the bin I would be thinking about rolling them out at this time. Carries are also about as wide as we have seen them. I am not expecting large carries again this year.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.