9/11/2026

Sep 11, 2026


It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point.  They helped soften the burden on the balance sheet by lowering feed residual and placing their carryout at 1.567 billion vs an average guess at 1.528 billion bushel.  World corn carryout was higher at 272.10 million tonnes vs 271.59 million tonnes.  Corn ran higher off the report and traded up a dime before fading back an is currently slightly lower on the day.  On the Soybean side of things the USDA raised bean yield up to 52.8 bpa vs an average guess of 52.5 bpa.  Bean carryout was put at 310 million vs an average guess of 298 million bushel.  World bean carryout was placed at 124.02 million tonnes vs average guess of 123.06 million tonnes.  Beans have traded lower all day and are currently down 28 cents. 
 

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Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report.