9/11/2023

Sep 11, 2023


Corn and soybeans start the week with higher finishes in modest fashion.  Corn closed up 2-3 cents and soybeans 5-7 cents higher.  Trade was two-sided throughout the session but there was the appearance of some simple positioning ahead of tomorrow's WASDE report where analysts expect the USDA to make some cuts to the 2023 crop yields.  The USDA confirmed the sale of 185,000 tonnes of soybean meal for delivery to the Philippines during the 2023/24 marketing year.  The weekly export inspections report showed corn at the upper end of expectations with 624k tonnes shipped but soybeans on the low side at 310k tonnes inspected.

Corn has been consolidating on the chart since the Aug WASDE report and is set up for a possible breakout following tomorrow’s report at 11 a.m. 

 

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Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.