8/6/2024

Aug 06, 2024


Turnaround Tuesday was nearly in full swing today. The stock market and indices saw springboard-like action and were strongly higher at the opening bell. Values continued to improve throughout the day and the DOW had nearly erased Monday's losses by 1:30 today. There was not much of a buzz in the grain sector with corn and soybeans giving back yesterday's gains. There continues to be a lack of threat to the U.S. crops. Moisture levels are ample across major production areas, demand is routine/slow, and the market is content with just watching the corn and soybean crops progress towards maturing while small grain harvests speed up. The weekly crop conditions report seems almost routine at this stage of 2024. Corn was down 1 point to 67% good/excellent and soybeans improved 1 point to 68% good/excellent.

7-day rainfall totals

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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.