8/6/2024

Aug 06, 2024


Turnaround Tuesday was nearly in full swing today. The stock market and indices saw springboard-like action and were strongly higher at the opening bell. Values continued to improve throughout the day and the DOW had nearly erased Monday's losses by 1:30 today. There was not much of a buzz in the grain sector with corn and soybeans giving back yesterday's gains. There continues to be a lack of threat to the U.S. crops. Moisture levels are ample across major production areas, demand is routine/slow, and the market is content with just watching the corn and soybean crops progress towards maturing while small grain harvests speed up. The weekly crop conditions report seems almost routine at this stage of 2024. Corn was down 1 point to 67% good/excellent and soybeans improved 1 point to 68% good/excellent.

7-day rainfall totals

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.