Grain > Commentary > 8-6-2021

8/6/2021

Aug 06, 2021

8/6/2021
Another week is in the books.  For the week corn was up 8 and beans were down 13.  Observed weekend precip will be an important watch for how we open on Sunday night.  Thursday, Aug. 12th is the next USDA monthly report.  Average trade estimates have corn yield at 177.6 vs 179.5 in July.  21/22 Corn carryout is estimated at 1.297 billion vs 1.432 billion in July.  Average trade estimates have bean yields at 50.2 vs 50.8 in July.  21/22 Bean carryout is estimated at 134 million vs 155 million in July.  We did have another bean sale to China this morning of 131,000 metric tons.  It is good to see some back to back days of export sales.    

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6/11/2026
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
5/12/2026
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
2/10/2026
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.