Grain > Commentary > 8-27-2021

8/27/2021

Aug 27, 2021

8/27/2021
Today was a very quiet day heading into the weekend.  We did have a couple more sale announcements this morning.  129,000 metric tons of soybeans for delivery to China and 150,000 metric tons of corn for delivery to Colombia.  The US dollar was down about 400 tickets today, which is supportive to the grains.  Old crop basis continues to slowly leak towards new crop values, so if you have old crop left to sell now is the time before that premium is gone.  What was once a 90 cents premium a month ago is now a 30 cents premium on the bid sheet today.  Don't give that premium up.  For the week December corn futures were up 16 cents and bean futures were up 33 cents.  Harvest is quickly approaching as next Wednesday is already the 1st of September.  Seasonally this is not a time for a market rally, so I would expect sideways to lower trade next week to finish out the month of August.  We will have a full week of trade next week with a 3 day weekend for the Labor Day Holiday.    Have a good weekend!   

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10/9/2026
Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.