8/25/2023

Aug 25, 2023


Soybeans complete another day of firmly higher trade with double-digit gains and more strength in spreads while corn continues to be stuck sideways with spreads weakening. The USDA lit the lamp at 8 a.m. this morning confirming the sale of 121,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for delivery during the 2023/24 marketing year. ProFarmer completed their tour yesterday and found a fair amount of variability in the crop that was mostly as expected. We trade headlines and every year we trade the same weather headlines when it comes to the U.S. growing season. It's always too dry here, too wet over there, too hot in this place, or too cold at that place. Overall, the tour found a crop similar to last year and history tells us that this tour is typically very conservative in their corn yield estimates.

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Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off. 
Aug 12, 2025
The USDA report today didn't treat the corn market very well.  Both corn acres and yield were higher the result has corn carryout over 2.1 billion bushels.  Corn yield was pegged at 188.8 bpa vs an estimate of 184.29 bpa.  How high is 188.8?  Well…the previous record was 179.3.  Planted corn acres were put at 97.3 million.  Total corn production is estimated at 16.742 billion bushels, which is 763 million more than the report estimates.
May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.