8/24/2023

Aug 24, 2023


Corn was stuck in lower trade with weaker spreads for most of the session before finding just enough life at the end of the day for a mixed finish with the Sept 23 through Jul 24 contracts closing in the red.  Soybeans continued on their bounce, picking up 6-10 cents on the day.  Soybean sales near the old gap on the chart is once again the short-term target.  Oats traded double-digits higher, closing with gains of 19-10 cents on the front months.  There may be something there to help corn bounce and ease the pain of anyone who has old crop left unpriced.  There were no USDA 8 a.m. announcements this morning.  Weekly export sales were strong for old crop soybeans with 364.9k tonnes, almost doubling the top analyst estimate.  Old crop corn had net-cancellations of 22.7k tonnes.  New crop sales were on the higher end of expectations with 673.5k tonnes of corn and 1.218 mln tonnes of soybeans sold.  We will do a full breakdown of the ProFarmer crop tour tomorrow.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.