8/24/2023

Aug 24, 2023


Corn was stuck in lower trade with weaker spreads for most of the session before finding just enough life at the end of the day for a mixed finish with the Sept 23 through Jul 24 contracts closing in the red.  Soybeans continued on their bounce, picking up 6-10 cents on the day.  Soybean sales near the old gap on the chart is once again the short-term target.  Oats traded double-digits higher, closing with gains of 19-10 cents on the front months.  There may be something there to help corn bounce and ease the pain of anyone who has old crop left unpriced.  There were no USDA 8 a.m. announcements this morning.  Weekly export sales were strong for old crop soybeans with 364.9k tonnes, almost doubling the top analyst estimate.  Old crop corn had net-cancellations of 22.7k tonnes.  New crop sales were on the higher end of expectations with 673.5k tonnes of corn and 1.218 mln tonnes of soybeans sold.  We will do a full breakdown of the ProFarmer crop tour tomorrow.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.