8/24/2022

Aug 24, 2022


8/24/2022
Corn and soybeans were hot from the start of overnight trade with both seeing 10 cent gains within the first two hours.  Prices remained relatively sideways from that point into the morning break and daily highs were set almost immediately after the 8:30 open when Dec corn spiked to 16 cents higher and Nov soybeans trading a high mark close to 24 cents above the previous day's close.   Buying turned into some heavy selling, flipping corn to 10 lower and soybeans around 15 cents down, both spent the rest of the day working back towards unchanged.  This week's rumor has been a large sale of US soybeans to China and part of that was confirmed yesterday.  This morning the USDA announced another 517,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to China during the 2022/23 marketing year.  ProFarmer tour suggests an average crop in Indiana and well below average production in Nebraska.  Weekly ethanol data showed both output and stocks up with a 4,000 barrel/day production increase from the previous week and stocks rising 361,000 barrels to a total of 23.81 mln bbls.  The extended weather outlooks show a dry/warmer bias for the end of August/beginning of September across the growing regions.  In my opinion, that is exactly what we need to get the most out of a late planted crop.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.