8/23/2021

Aug 23, 2021


8/23/2021
After some big down days to finish last week, corn and soybeans found some stability on Monday.  Corn closed slightly lower but was able to trade higher for a portion of the day, garnering support from a sharply weaker dollar and Brazil corn being a premium.  Good weekend rains in the north west region of the grain belt and rumors of the EPA recommending a lower bio-fuel mandate stemmed any real momentum in corn on the day.  Soybeans improved a couple pennies today on some spillover support from crude and soybean oil.  US soybeans are currently around 50 cents/bushel cheaper than Brazil.  August sales have totaled over 90 million bushels so far and today was the first day in the past 12 that we did not see a daily export sale to China flashed.  The USDA did confirm a sale this morning, though, of 458,600 tonnes (18 million bushels) of corn to Mexico for the 2021/22 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections were right in line with trade range estimates with 725k tonnes of corn and 214k tonnes of soybeans inspected.  Wheat outperformed expectations with 658k tonnes inspected for export vs the top estimate of 575k tonnes.  This past weekend's rain totaled 1.75" at the elevator in Murdock.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.