8/22/2023

Aug 22, 2023


Corn and soybeans continued to fall further from Sunday night's highs in today's session.  This morning, the USDA announced the sale of 224,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Mexico, split evenly between the 2024/25 and 2025/26 marketing years.  A bit of a signal of poor demand for U.S. corn considering we still have the 2023/24 crop in the field but it is nice to have a sizable sale on the books.  ProFarmer tour is going on this week and found above average crops in South Dakota and Ohio.  We will break down the full numbers at the end of the week when the tour is completed.  Historically, the crop tours do not come close to the final yields from the USDA but we are beginning to collect enough information to calculate an expected difference between ProFarmer and USDA over the years.  With a lack of anything else happening to move the market, outlooks are steady/lower as we migrate towards harvest.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.