8/17/2021

Aug 17, 2021


8/17/2021
Overnight trade was two-sided but quiet and faded lower throughout the day session.  Yesterday's drop in good/excellent crop condition ratings of 2% in corn and 3% in soybeans was unexpected but did not shock trade.  ProFarmer tour is making its way through Nebraska and Indiana today and early reports are showing some impressive crops out there and receiving most of the credit for the sell pressure on the market today.  USDA made a couple 8am sales announcements this morning with 198,000 tonnes of soybeans to China for the 2021/22 marketing year and 132,000 tonnes of soybeans to unknown also for the 21/22 marketing year.  Weekly export inspections from yesterday were just snuck in just above the bottom estimates with 667k tonnes of corn and 114k tonnes of soybeans inspected.  Both are close to the pace needed to meet the USDA's yearly target but have fallen off drastically over the past month.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.