8/13/2021

Aug 13, 2021


8/13/2021
Yesterday's WASDE report gave the markets a shot of life with some friendly numbers after the USDA shocked the market with a 5 bu/ac cut in the 2021 corn yield compared to last month.  Corn and soybeans both finished well off their highs yesterday but follow-through buying supported the market today.  Soybeans failed to break higher on yesterday's report but corn did break out of its 4-week trading range.  Trade is unwilling to test current highs and long-term consolidation remains intact with corn and beans both finishing the week near the mid-points of their multi-month trading ranges.  A few important things to watch going forward from here are crop finishing rains, how the current US grain prices compare globally and how they may affect future export sales, and the FSA's initial acre report implying that it is likely the USDA still has corn and soybean acres understated.  September corn futures finished 13 higher for the week but cash only posted a 3-cent gain from last Friday with basis beginning to slip with end-users gaining coverage ahead of harvest.  Delivered new crop corn performed well this week, posting a 17-cent gain.  Weekly close for cash beans is 19 cents higher and new crop beans picked up a healthy 34 cents on the week.  Everyone have a wonderful weekend!

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.