8/11/2022

Aug 11, 2022


8/11/2022
December corn closed higher for the seventh consecutive day and soybeans jump double digits one day ahead of the USDA's August WASDE report.  Trade has a bullish sentiment anticipating yield cuts to the 2022 crops.  Along with the stocks and acres reports released at the end of June, the USDA announced they would resurvey soybean acres in the Dakotas and Minnesota specifically for this report.  Will they find more or less? Trade is betting on less, which has help lift November beans near a $1.60/bu off of their 8-month lows.  This is not the time of year we typically see a big futures rally so if you are looking to do some catch-up marketing, targets should remain relatively within an arm's reach of our current price levels.  This is one of the more important reports we get from the USDA and volatility is sure to be high tomorrow.  This is the perfect situation for working sell orders to catch potential price spikes.  Last year's August report was very bullish and the market sold it off afterwards.  Whether you want to do HTA's or new crop delivery, look to target the areas around 650'0 on December corn and 1470'0 on November soybeans.  We've seen a fair amount of export sale activity and announcements recently with another coming this morning of 103,400 tonnes of soybean cake for delivery to Mexico in the 2022/23 marketing year.

December corn finally closed above the 200-day moving average after failing in the previous four attempts. Good start for those looking for higher trade.
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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.