7/30/2021

Jul 30, 2021


7/30/2021
A big risk-off day to finish our week and the trading month as rain showers pushed across parts of South Dakota, Iowa, and the southern half of Minnesota throughout the day.  The timing of this rain (going into August) is probably more important for soybean development than the amount.  Starting to see a little bit of corn harvest in Texas after a growing season of near-perfect conditions that included abundant precipitation and ideal temperatures during pollination.  Market volatility in July was much less compared to June but expect the market to have some larger daily moves the closer we get to August 12 where we could see a possible yield change on the monthly USDA WASDE report.  According to Reuters, Brazilian farmers are expected to increase their soybean area for the 15th consecutive year by 4% to a total of roughly 100 million acres.  Demand for old crop corn continues to slip with China cancelling shipments.  Weekly closes: cash corn 2 lower, new crop corn down 1, cash and new crop beans both down 8 cents on the week.  Some weather models are showing high temperatures for our area in the triple digits end of next week but forecasts have yet to reflect this.  Everyone try your best to enjoy the smoky, mild-temperature weekend!

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.