7/29/2024

Jul 29, 2024


Just a simple change towards "non-threatening" in the weather forecasts has sent the market into sell-off mode again.  Corn and soybeans gapped lower on the Sunday night open and spent the remainder of the session recovering.  Soybeans could have fared much worse, trading 30 lower before climbing out of the gutter to close 9 lower.  Corn was negative until noon and managed a modest 2 cent gain on the day.  Weekly export inspections were in line with expectations at 1.058 mln tonnes of corn and 403k tonnes of soybeans shipped last week.  Corn narrows its deficit to 39 million bushels behind target pace and soybeans maintain their 23-million-bushel surplus.  There were no USDA sale announcements this morning.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.