7/25/2024

Jul 25, 2024


Corn and soybeans performed solid again on Thursday and are close to putting together one of the better weeks that we have seen in quite some time. Corn failed to take out the previous day's high for the first time this week but continues to steadily climb the ladder with a series of higher lows. We were also able to recover nicely from a midday sell-off. New crop export sale bookings continue to grow in volume. The USDA confirmed the sale of 264,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 2024/25 marketing year this morning. Weekly export sales: old crop corn midrange at 331.4k tonnes, old crop soybeans missed low with 88.6k tonnes sold, new crop corn outperforms expectations with 745.2k tonnes, new crop soybean sales on the high end at 829.7k tonnes. Old crop sales paces: corn export sales match the pace needed to meet the USDA export target but shipment pace is short by 42 million bushels; soybean export sales are short by 48 million bushels but actual shipments exceed the pace needed by 23 million bushels.

November soybeans with a friendly set up on the chart. Today’s outside reversal higher held on to close above the 20-day moving average. If you STILL have old crop to clean up or are behind in new crop sales, here is an opportunity to target a bounce. Target 1: 10.95 Nov futures for old or new crop sales. If trade is willing to take November beans back into 1100 territory, the 1125-1130 futures area is the second target for new crop sales.

Read More News

Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.