7/24/2024

Jul 24, 2024


Corn and soybeans finished in opposite directions on Wednesday.  Corn had worked its way to as much as 7 higher and soybeans topped out at 5 higher around the midday point.  We began sliding away from those highs and it was obvious some hedge pressure was beginning to weigh on the market some.  Corn held on to close 1 higher but soybeans melted away further without much of a fight, finishing 11 lower on the day.  The past two sessions we have closed a fair amount off the highs but have managed some small gains in corn.  This price action can indicate there are several taking advantage of this week's bounce to do some marketing.  We haven't held onto the highs this week but corn has rallied as much as 21 cents and soybeans as much as 45 cents.  The only thing fresh for the market today was just the weekly ethanol grind numbers.  Production dipped 11,000 barrels/day from the previous week, down to 1.095 mln bpd.  Stocks increased 500k barrels to 23.7 mln bbls.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.