7/24/2024

Jul 24, 2024


Corn and soybeans finished in opposite directions on Wednesday.  Corn had worked its way to as much as 7 higher and soybeans topped out at 5 higher around the midday point.  We began sliding away from those highs and it was obvious some hedge pressure was beginning to weigh on the market some.  Corn held on to close 1 higher but soybeans melted away further without much of a fight, finishing 11 lower on the day.  The past two sessions we have closed a fair amount off the highs but have managed some small gains in corn.  This price action can indicate there are several taking advantage of this week's bounce to do some marketing.  We haven't held onto the highs this week but corn has rallied as much as 21 cents and soybeans as much as 45 cents.  The only thing fresh for the market today was just the weekly ethanol grind numbers.  Production dipped 11,000 barrels/day from the previous week, down to 1.095 mln bpd.  Stocks increased 500k barrels to 23.7 mln bbls.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.