7/24/2024

Jul 24, 2024


Corn and soybeans finished in opposite directions on Wednesday.  Corn had worked its way to as much as 7 higher and soybeans topped out at 5 higher around the midday point.  We began sliding away from those highs and it was obvious some hedge pressure was beginning to weigh on the market some.  Corn held on to close 1 higher but soybeans melted away further without much of a fight, finishing 11 lower on the day.  The past two sessions we have closed a fair amount off the highs but have managed some small gains in corn.  This price action can indicate there are several taking advantage of this week's bounce to do some marketing.  We haven't held onto the highs this week but corn has rallied as much as 21 cents and soybeans as much as 45 cents.  The only thing fresh for the market today was just the weekly ethanol grind numbers.  Production dipped 11,000 barrels/day from the previous week, down to 1.095 mln bpd.  Stocks increased 500k barrels to 23.7 mln bbls.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.