7/23/2021

Jul 23, 2021


7/23/2021
Corn began the overnight session with some modest gains of around 5 cents but was unable to hold, going into the morning break in the red where soybeans had spent the entire session.  That weakness continued throughout the day where some surprise rain not in the forecast fell on various spots around the growing region.  With weather premiums priced into the market, seasonally slow export business for old crop and light numbers on the books for new crop soybean business has put pressure on soybean futures this week.  After showing some signs of strength, cash soybean basis has slipped with end-users now having their needs covered going into harvest.  Despite finishing the second of half this week lower, corn still has some bullish elements to it.  Question marks concerning the size of the Brazil and China corn crops may swing some business towards the US where corn demand is expected to be lower than last year.  We look to remain hot and dry going into next week.  Weekly closes are as follows: cash corn down 9 cents, new crop corn 7 lower, cash soybeans 60 lower, new crop soybeans down 35 cents.

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.