7/20/2021

Jul 20, 2021


7/20/2021
Turn-around Tuesday for corn and soybeans as they both finish a mostly quiet day with double digit gains.  Not much available to explain the higher move other than buying was supported by the hot and dry weather and money flowing back in after yesterday's wide spread sell-off across various markets and exchanges.  Crop conditions scored US corn at 65% good/excellent, unchanged from the previous week.  Soybeans were seen at 60% good/excellent, up 1% from last week.  Trade is giving some focus to the Brazil corn with areas seeing frost a couple times over the past week or so but, with harvest already underway (30% complete), I'm a little skeptical on if it will have any significant effect on their yields.  September corn has been attempting to fill a gap on the chart at the 588'0 mark but has been finding some resistance around 571'0 over the past week.  Funds purchased 8000 corn and 10000 beans today.  We will be looking forward to the break from this hot weather, whenever it comes.

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May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.