7/2/2024

Jul 02, 2024


Corn and soybeans popped higher to begin overnight trade and were steady going into the morning break. 5-6 cent higher trade in corn and as much as 15 cent higher trade and soybeans was viewed just after 8:30 but the market immediately began slipping back from there. We closed with the front end higher out to March and May of 25 with the further deferred months ending red on the day. This is the first higher close higher in corn since June 18 and soybeans have traded 25-30 cents above their report-day lows. The USDA announced an old crop corn sale this morning for 100,000 tonnes of corn for delivery to Colombia. Weekly crop conditions showed the good/excellent rating in corn dropping 2 points, trade had expected a 1-point drop. Soybean conditions were unchanged from last week, remaining at 67% good/excellent. Ratings are now within 1 point of last year at this time.

Corn has found some willing buyers at the lows and we have also had a pattern of higher lows during the past 3 sessions. If we get a correction from this oversold territory, anything near $4 cash needs to be sold hard.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.