7/19/2022

Jul 19, 2022


7/19/2022
Corn recovered over a dime off of its daily lows but still finished down double-digits out to the July 2023 contract. Price action in soybeans was similar after trading 40 lower this morning and came back to finish within 17-22 cents of unchanged. A bit of a gut check reminder that a turn-around Tuesday can go both ways. Bulls and bears have struggled to sustain momentum in either direction over the past two weeks. USDA left the corn conditioned unchanged at 64% good/excellent, trade was expecting a decline of 1 point. Headlining the weekly update was a 4-point increase in the g/e rating in the Illinois corn crop from 66% to 70%. Soybean conditioned was lowered 1 point to 61% good/excellent. With a lack of rain this growing season, our late start to planting could end up being the best thing for our crop this year. Not much for fresh news today besides Egypt issuing a tender for wheat and then cancelling. U.S. was reported as the cheapest bid to Egypt which may have helped cap losses in the wheat today.

Estimated 3 day rain fall.
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Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.
Nov 14, 2025
It was USDA report day today and overall, it was bearish for both corn and beans.  Corn Yield was only reduced by .7 bpa down to 186 bpa.  The market was expecting closer to 184 bpa.  Corn production is estimated at 16.752 billion vs 16.814 billion in September.  They raised exports 100 million, which is debatable, but possible.  Ending stocks on corn were estimated at 2.154 billion bushels, which is up 44 million from September and about 29 million more than the market expected.