7/19/2021

Jul 19, 2021


7/19/2021
After a strong showing overnight, corn and soybeans traded back and forth, spending a majority of the day session in the red with corn making a late push to finish fractionally higher on the day.  There was large outside market pressure today with the Dow and NASDAQ both taking big hits.  As of about 1:20pm today, the Dow was down 870 points and the NASDAQ was 155.50 points lower.  After matching the 2018 high a couple weeks ago, crude oil continues to retreat and hemorrhaged value today with the front month down about 5.35/barrel.  OPEC+ recently announced that they would be increasing production.  Weekly export inspections for corn, soybeans, and wheat were all within trade range estimates with 1.001 mln tonnes of corn, 144k tonnes of soybeans, and 491k tonnes of wheat inspected for export.  Corn and soybean condition on this week's crop progress report are both expected to increase by 1 point in the good/excellent category to 66% for corn and 60% for soybeans.  Another 1-point decline in the spring wheat condition is expected, down 15% g/e. 

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Sep 12, 2025
USDA report day.  Corn and beans were trading higher pre-report on thoughts of a reduction to yields.  Well....we got what we were thinking but the USDA decided to throw a twist into the mix.  The 25/26 corn yield decreased slightly less than expected by 2.1 bu to 186.7 bpa, but they gave us the largest planted acreage shift on this report in at least the last 20 years (+1.4 mil acres) spurred an increase in production to 16,814 mbu.  25/26 ending stocks were slightly lowered by 7 mbu to 2,110 mbu. 
Aug 21, 2025
Today the market ran higher on rumors for positive SRE announcements coming soon.  Bean oil was up over $2.  Beans finished the day up 20 cents at 10.56 Nov futures.  There is a chance we could make a run at the 10.74 Nov highs from back in June.  If we get there, I am a seller.  Bean basis remains in the garbage, so a run higher in futures doesn't help that either.  We still don't have a trade deal, so I think any rally is short lived at this time. 
Aug 15, 2025
Corn and beans both had nice gains heading into the weekend.  Corn might seem terrible as of late, but for corn to only be down 2 cents since report day is impressive.  That was one of the most bearish reports for corn we have seen in quite some time.  Corn finished the week 13 cents off its lows and unchanged for the week.  New crop corn basis has softened a little on the week as the extra 2 million acres and 8 bushels of yield from the report has also scared a few exporters off.