Grain > Commentary > 7-16-2024

7/16/2024

Jul 16, 2024

Soybeans are now priced off of the November futures.  Corn and soybeans enjoyed a day of higher trade and posted modest gains of 2-5 cents.  The weekly crop ratings report was unchanged from the previous week with corn and soybeans remaining at 68% good/excellent.  Overall, it was a quiet trade day.  There were no USDA reports or announcements today and no headlines or news overnight so we can probably view this as simply a correctional bounce after Monday's sharp move lower.  In our opinion, corn needs to fight hard and hold over this 393'0 level or there's another 30 cents of downside risk in the cards.  There is a similar story in soybeans.  The market needs to hold above the current lows or risk going down into the 9's.

Read More News

10/9/2026
Oct 09, 2026
USDA Report Update:
Well, the USDA gave us an absolute shocker this morning and raised the corn yield up to 181.2 bpa vs 178.5 in September.  The average trade guess was lower at 177.7 bpa.  The carryout is now up to 1.849 billion bushels vs 1.567 in September.  They raised Exports up 25 million, Feed and residual up 50 million and Ethanol up 50 million.  Corn is currently down 28 cents on this news.  This is an absolute shocker to the corn market. 
9/11/2026
Sep 11, 2026
It is USDA report day and it seemed like one of the most important reports we have had in a while.  The USDA placed corn yield at 178.5 bpa vs an average guess of 178.2.  They were in line with expectations and admitting we have an issue brewing.  This likely won’t be our lowest yield we see, but it at least drew a line in the sand for a starting point. 
7/10/2026
Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected.