7/14/2023

Jul 14, 2023


7/14/2023
Corn goes into the weekend with a firm 13 cent higher finish on Friday.  Soybeans worked a 30-cent range throughout the session and provided plenty of opportunity on both sides of unchanged before settling 1-9 higher.  Trade was not afraid to buy going into the weekend despite weather forecasts adding precipitation into next week.  A quick look at the corn charts shows that we have a nice setup and some room for a decent rally if these rains don't materialize.  Soybeans also have potential to break out higher with the charts forming a potential bull pennant going back to the May low.  It will be important to take notes on how November soybeans want to act inside of the 1390-1400 area if we are able to get back to those price levels.  Catching up on sales when hovering near 1400 futures isn't a terrible idea.  New crop corn in the $5.00-5.10 range is a realistic target, as well.

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May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT. 
Jan 12, 2026
Well, the USDA report had a bit of a surprise today and not in a good way.  Not only did they increase the 2025 corn yield, from 186.0 to 186.5, they also increased Harvest Acres from 90 million to 91.3 million.  That raised the total corn production to 17.021 billion, up an additional 269 million bushels from their previous estimate.  U.S. Ending Stocks are now estimated at 2.227 bbu, vs. 2.209 in Dec.  Report trade guesses were at 1.97 bbu.