7/13/2023

Jul 13, 2023


7/13/2023
A solid recovery up and down the board today erased most of Wednesday's losses in corn and soybeans closed well above the Wednesday opening price.  The continued fall of the dollar index fueled the fund buying in grains today.  The USDA announced a sale this morning of 315,704 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  Weekly net export sales were the largest for corn since March with 468k tonnes of old and 471k tonnes of new crop sales last week.  These figures were both above trade expectations.  Soybean sales were bland with 81k tonnes of old and 209k tonnes of new crop sold.  Using the revised USDA export targets in yesterday's WASDE report, corn sales pace improved to 54 million bushels behind versus 58 million bushels short last week.  Soybean sales pace falls short 67 million bushels versus 65 million bushels short last week.  We will need some big numbers in the final 7 weeks to hit the current USDA figures on the balance sheets and it is very unlikely we achieve those numbers.

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May 12, 2025
News broke Sunday that the USA and China have agreed to ease tensions and lower tariffs.  The US is lowering tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30%.  China is lowering their import tariffs from 125% to 10%.  Talks will resume in the coming weeks.  This news had stocks, grains and oil higher overnight. Then of course we had a USDA grain report come out at 11:00 this morning.  That was also a bit friendly.
Mar 31, 2025
USDA reported corn planting acres at 95.326 million acres of corn, which would be up a little more than 5% from 2024's final number and the second highest March figure of the last ten years behind only 2020's estimate of 96.99 mil acres.  US corn stocks as of March 1st were seen at 81.51 billion bushels, which was exactly what the trade had expected and was down just over 2% from March 1 of 2024.  USDA said farmers intended to plant 83.495 million acres of soybeans, which would be down about 4% from last year and was just a hair smaller than what the trade was looking for.  March 1 soybean stocks were pegged at 1.91 billion bu's, which again was nearly exactly as the trade had expected, and was up 3.5% compared to March 1, 2024.
Mar 11, 2025
The monthly USDA WASDE report was today and it was about as boring as it can get.  The USDA took the month off leaving corn and beans carryouts unchanged.  Corn remains at 1.540 billion bushels and beans at 380 million bushels.  World ending stocks were slightly lowered on both corn and beans.  World corn was pegged at 288.94 million tonnes vs 290.3 million tonnes previously.  World beans were pegged at 121.4 million tonnes vs 124.3 million tonnes previously.  All of the South American crop production estimates were also left unchanged.