7/13/2023

Jul 13, 2023


7/13/2023
A solid recovery up and down the board today erased most of Wednesday's losses in corn and soybeans closed well above the Wednesday opening price.  The continued fall of the dollar index fueled the fund buying in grains today.  The USDA announced a sale this morning of 315,704 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Mexico during the 2023/24 marketing year.  Weekly net export sales were the largest for corn since March with 468k tonnes of old and 471k tonnes of new crop sales last week.  These figures were both above trade expectations.  Soybean sales were bland with 81k tonnes of old and 209k tonnes of new crop sold.  Using the revised USDA export targets in yesterday's WASDE report, corn sales pace improved to 54 million bushels behind versus 58 million bushels short last week.  Soybean sales pace falls short 67 million bushels versus 65 million bushels short last week.  We will need some big numbers in the final 7 weeks to hit the current USDA figures on the balance sheets and it is very unlikely we achieve those numbers.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.