7/11/2024

Jul 11, 2024


The markets looked promising overnight and showed some strength going into the morning break. Corn was holding steady in the range of 5-8 cents higher and soybeans were flexing a solid bounce of 7-11 cents higher. Soybeans had held off a couple early waves of selling but eventually caved, flipping red on the front end at midday. A late push brought us to finish just on the green side of unchanged. This price action in soybeans pulled wheat and corn off of their daily highs but we were able to close with some modest gains of 2-3 cents in corn and wheat finished a solid day with some double-digit gains. Weekly export sales were mid-range for old crop corn with 538k tonnes sold. Old crop beans were on the low side of expectations with 208k tonnes sold. Sales pace for corn improved 9 mln bu this week to a 74-million-bushel surplus. Soybean sales pace remained unchanged at a 50 million bushel short-fall. The July WASDE report will be out at 11 a.m. tomorrow. With the extreme oversold conditions and the record short position in funds, this report is getting a little more attention than it normally would. Trade will be focused mostly on any change to the U.S. crop yields and Brazil production.

Record net short position for corn…

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.