7/10/2023

Jul 10, 2023


7/10/2023
Corn was steady in the 4-5 cent higher range and soybeans trended higher throughout the session finishing with gains of 18-27 cents on Monday.  Corn has been mostly sideways throughout the past 5 days while soybeans have traded around a 75-cent range.  Weekly export inspections were poor for corn with 341k tonnes shipped last week.  Soybeans were landed mid-range of expectations at 238k tonnes.  Corn shipments are now 78 million bushels behind the pace needed to hit the USDA export target, up from 60 million bushels last week.  Soybean export shipment pace is now 23 million bushels ahead of the USDA target, down from 28 million bushels last week.  For the WASDE report on Wednesday, analysts’ average estimates show trade expecting the USDA to cut corn yield by about 5 bu/ac and soybean yield by 0.6 bu/ac.  They also have the 2022/23 corn ending stocks decreasing by 30 million bushels which seems out of line considering how sluggish demand has been for the past 6 months.  USDA will need to sharpen their demand numbers for corn exports and ethanol before the end of the marketing year.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.