6/6/2023

Jun 06, 2023


Corn and soybeans began overnight trade immediately higher, triggered by the USDA putting out some lower-than-expected crop ratings.  The U.S. corn crop is currently rated at 64% good/excellent, trade was looking for a 67% rating (69% last week, 73% year ago).  Probably the most notable drop in conditions was across the I-states with Illinois -19% g/e, Indiana -10% g/e, and Iowa -5%.  The initial rating for the soybean crop came in at 62% good/excellent with trade expecting a 65% rating.  Corn and soybeans did flip back and forth between higher and lower a couple times throughout the session before finding solid footing in 3-5 cent higher trade shortly after the mid-day point.  Some strong spread action with July corn finishing the day up 10 cents.  The USDA announced the sale of 165,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Spain during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Some are guessing that this could be a result of Brazil's large lineup due to shipping delays.

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Jul 10, 2026
USDA report day was slightly friendly to the grain markets.
Corn:
25/26 corn carryout was pegged at 2.020 billion bushels vs an average guess of 2.073 billion.  The main changes to this year’s balance sheet had feed and residual usage up 150 million bushels while they decreased ethanol by 25 million bushels.  Corn Yield for next year was estimated at 183 bushel per acre, which was about as expected. 
Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.