6/6/2023

Jun 06, 2023


Corn and soybeans began overnight trade immediately higher, triggered by the USDA putting out some lower-than-expected crop ratings.  The U.S. corn crop is currently rated at 64% good/excellent, trade was looking for a 67% rating (69% last week, 73% year ago).  Probably the most notable drop in conditions was across the I-states with Illinois -19% g/e, Indiana -10% g/e, and Iowa -5%.  The initial rating for the soybean crop came in at 62% good/excellent with trade expecting a 65% rating.  Corn and soybeans did flip back and forth between higher and lower a couple times throughout the session before finding solid footing in 3-5 cent higher trade shortly after the mid-day point.  Some strong spread action with July corn finishing the day up 10 cents.  The USDA announced the sale of 165,000 tonnes of soybeans for delivery to Spain during the 2022/23 marketing year.  Some are guessing that this could be a result of Brazil's large lineup due to shipping delays.

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Jun 11, 2026
The USDA report was noneventful and now we wait for the stocks and acres report on June 30th.  25/26 corn carryout was estimated at 2.145 billion vs an average guess of 2.138 billion.  26/27 corn carryout was estimated at 1.960 billion vs an average guess of 1.947 billion. 26/27 World corn carryout was estimated at 281.22 Million Tonnes vs an average guess of 278.51.  That is up 4 Million Tonnes from the May USDA report. 
May 12, 2026
Today was USDA report day.  Old crop corn carryout was pegged at 2.142 billion vs the average trade guess of 2.131 billion.  That is a 15 million bushel increase from the April report.  New crop 26/27 corn carryout was guessed at 1.957 billion vs an average trade guess of 1.933 billion.  The World old crop corn carryout was put at 296.95 million tonnes, vs an average trade guess of 296.33.
Feb 10, 2026
It was USDA report day today and it turned out to be a yawner.  The markets never really reacted to the report, and the grains finished the day about where they started with corn unchanged and beans up 12 on the day.  US corn carryout was pegged at 2.127 billion bushels vs the average trade guess of 2.227 billion.  World corn carryout was placed at 288.98 MMT vs the average trade guess of 290.48 MMT.